By Billy Hammond (Copyright AELS)

March 1, 2020

COVID-19 Dubious Figures

S. Korea had reported 3,150 infection cases as of Saturday, February 29th with 17 deaths. The spread is suspected to have started on February 10 when a 61 year old female member of a religious sect attended services. This gives a time line of 19 days.

China reported 62 cases on January 17 from a start estimated to have begun around December 8. In January they doubled the cases every 7.5 days. Comparing this to the S. Korean infections, it’s natural to suspect the Chinese data.

As for Japan, the government hasn’t been testing all of the suspect cases so nobody knows the real numbers, but I suspect that a large part of the population is infected, especially in the metropolises where Chinese tourists were roaming around Japan while the infection rates were soaring in their country.

I have a feeling all hell is going to break loose once real testing starts to be implemented in Japan. The figures are probably going to be in the tens of thousands…

COVID-19怪しいデータ

229日の時点で韓国ではCOVID-19の感染症例が3,150だった。死者数は17人。感染は210日の新宗教会合で始まったと思われている。そうすると、19日間のタイムラインでその数字になる。

他方では中国は128日と思われるスタートからやっと117日に62の感染例を報告した。1月中症例数を7.5間日毎に倍にした。韓国の報告数を見ると中国のデータは非常に怪しく見える。

日本の場合は、政府は疑わしい症例を検査しない方針をとったため本当の数字は不明だ。しかし、理屈から考えると都会人口の多くは感染されていると思ってもおかしくない。なぜならば、中国で感染が拡大していた間、感染されたインバウンドの中国人旅行者は大勢日本の町を歩き回っていたからだ。

日本では検査が本格的に開始し出したら、とんでもない数字がでると思う。数十万人?数百万人?

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English novels by Billy Hammond published by AELS

(AELS出版英語書籍リスト)

 

I. Majoh Gakuin and Hikari Juku – Japanese Witch Schools Trilogy

1. Majoh Gakuin & Hikari Juku – Japanese Witch Schools

2. Lost Witch (The second book)

3. Fate & Magic (The final book in the trilogy)

II. Brindle – Scryer Extraordinaire Trilogy

1. Brindle – Scryer Extraordinaire

2. Brindle – Scryer Extraordinaire – Returns

3. Brindle – Scryer Extraordinaire – Challenges (The final book in the trilogy)

III. Fantasy fiction set in Japan

1. 21st Century Ninja

2. Regressed

3. Japanese Woman

IV. Fantasy fiction set outside of Japan

1. Dimension Jumpers

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