By Billy Hammond (Copyright AELS)

Written June 15, 2019

The Japanese media recently seems to have embarked on a campaign to run elderly drivers (loosely defined by them depending on the broadcasting company as anyone from 60 to 65 and older) off the roads and get them to turn in their driver’s licenses.

Lately viewers have been exposed to a steady stream of news featuring an elderly driver, usually over 65 being the cause of a terrible accident or being involved in some unthinkable driving error like driving against traffic on a one-way street.

Most Japanese are probably eating up the footage and swearing that elderly Japanese drivers are a menace that needs to be eliminated, however, when I think about the percentage of people over sixty-five in the Japanese population and the number of accidents being televised, I wonder what the real problem is.

It’s true that a few elderly Japanese drivers have been the cause of some terrible accidents lately that have caused the deaths of innocent bystanders, but at the same time, I’m pretty sure that there are many more accidents happening daily that are caused by much younger drivers who have just gotten their drivers’ licenses.

According to the Institute for Traffic Research and Data Analysis there were 430,601 accidents in Japan in 2018 with 3,532 fatalities and 525,846 people injured in them.

Mr. Mamoru Ishikawa wrote an interesting article in Japanese referring to data from 2015 that showed drivers in the 16 – 19 age range having the greatest number of accidents per 10,000 drivers, followed by those aged 20 – 29 and succeeded by those over 80 being the cause of traffic accidents.

It’s pretty much what I would have suspected, because most elderly drivers are aware of their physical decline and are cautious to compensate for it.

I think the recent news rampage on elderly drivers is a good example of the use of a small set of data expanded to create mass misunderstanding and generate overall panic. Basically, it’s irresponsible reporting.

高齢者ドライバー:統計の悪用

最近の日本のマスコミは高齢者ドライバー(報道機関の定義にバラつきがあり、6065歳以上と思わせるものが多い)を運転させないで運転免許返納に向けさせるような魔女狩りを進めているみたい。

確かに最近、数人の高齢者ドライバーはとても悲しい事故の原因になったが、毎日免許取ったばかりの若者ドライバー原因の事故が起きていることも確実だ。

交通事故総合分析センターのデータによると平成30年には430601件の交通事故が起きた。その内の3532人 が亡くなった。

ネットを更に調べると、石川衛氏が2016年に書いた『高齢ドライバーの事故は20代より少ない 意外と知らないデータの真実』の記事を見つけた。彼の発見では1万人のドライバー当り、1619歳の事故が最も多く、次に2029歳でその次が80歳以上と分かった。

私は推定していた通りだった。なぜならば、高齢者ドライバーの殆どは自分の高齢化を意識しており、それに合わせて運転しているからだ。

最近の日本のマスコミの高齢者運転の煽りは少数のデータセットを利用して誤解やパニックを起こすいい例だ。基本的には偏見を抱いた無責任な報道だと思う。

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Books published by AELS (AELS出版書籍)

魔女学院&光塾:魔女ガールズの冒険

原作&翻訳:ビレー ハモンド

日本語編集:伊庭野れい子

Majoh Gakuin & Hikari Juku – Japanese Witch Schools – English Edition (魔女学院&光塾(英語)

By Billy Hammond

迷える魔女の戦い (魔女学院&光塾シリーズ第2)

原作&翻訳:ビレー ハモンド

日本語編集:伊庭野れい子

Lost Witch (Majoh Gakuin & Hikari Juku Series Book 2) – English Edition (迷える魔女: 魔女学院&光塾第2弾:英語版)

By Billy Hammond

幸せを運ぶ魔法のチャレンジ 魔女学院&光塾シリーズの第3(Fate & Magic Jp)

原作&翻訳:ビレー ハモンド

日本語編集:伊庭野れい子

“Fate & Magic” Majoh Gakuin & Hikari Juku Series – Japanese Witch Schools Book 3 – English Edition (幸せを運ぶ魔法のチャレンジの英語版)

By Billy Hammond

Regressed 「過去に生きて・・・」

原作&翻訳:ビレー ハモンド

日本語編集:伊庭野れい子

Regressed – English Edition

By Billy Hammond

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